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What is Trading on Polymarket?

Polymarket is a prediction market where you can trade on the outcomes of real-world events. Through anumaan bot, you can trade directly from Telegram with zero gas fees and instant execution.
Prediction Markets 101: You buy shares in outcomes you believe will happen. If you’re right, your shares are worth 1each.Ifyou′rewrong,they′reworth1 each. If you're wrong, they're worth 0.

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How It Works

1

Market Alert

The bot detects interesting trading opportunities on Polymarket (high win-rate traders, large liquidity moves, etc.)
2

Telegram Notification

You receive an alert in the Insider group with market details and trade buttons
3

One-Click Trading

Click “Buy YES” or “Buy NO” directly from the alert - no external websites needed
4

Instant Execution

Your trade executes immediately at current market prices with zero gas fees
5

Track Position

Monitor your position’s profit/loss (PnL) in real-time with /positions

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Understanding YES/NO Shares

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YES Shares

Buying YES means you believe the outcome will happen: 
Market: "Will Bitcoin reach $100k by 2024?"
Buy YES at $0.60 → You believe it will happen
If correct → Each share worth $1.00
Your profit: $1.00 - $0.60 = $0.40 per share

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NO Shares

Buying NO means you believe the outcome will NOT happen: 
Market: "Will Bitcoin reach $100k by 2024?"
Buy NO at $0.40 → You believe it won't happen
If correct → Each share worth $1.00
Your profit: $1.00 - $0.40 = $0.60 per share
Market Prices: YES + NO prices always equal 1.00.IfYESis1.00. If YES is 0.70, NO is $0.30.

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Key Trading Features

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Gasless Transactions

All trades through anumaan bot are completely free:
  • ✅ No gas fees to pay
  • ✅ No network fees
  • ✅ No hidden charges
  • ✅ Polymarket covers all costs

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Instant Execution

  • Trades execute in seconds
  • Current market prices
  • Real-time confirmation
  • Immediate position updates

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Real-Time Tracking

  • Live PnL updates
  • Current market prices
  • Position value changes
  • Performance analytics

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Trading Methods

From Alerts

Trade directly from Insider group alerts (recommended)

Copy Trading

Automatically mirror successful traders’ positions

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Understanding Market Prices

Market prices represent the probability that the market assigns to an outcome:
PriceMeaningExample
$0.9090% likelyVery confident YES
$0.7070% likelyModerately confident YES
$0.5050/50Toss-up
$0.3030% likelyModerately confident NO
$0.1010% likelyVery confident NO
Finding Value: Look for markets where you think the probability is different from the price. If a market is priced at $0.40 but you think it’s 60% likely, that’s a value opportunity!

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Risk Management

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Position Sizing

Smart traders use proper position sizing: 
Conservative: 1-5% of balance per trade
Moderate: 5-10% of balance per trade
Aggressive: 10-20% of balance per trade
Never Risk Everything: Don’t put all your funds in one position. Diversify across multiple markets to manage risk.

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Stop-Loss Strategy

Consider closing positions that:
  • Move significantly against you
  • Have changed circumstances
  • No longer represent good value

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Take Profit Strategy

Consider taking profits when:
  • Position reaches target profit
  • Market sentiment shifts
  • New information emerges

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Trading Workflow

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1. Receive Alert

🚨 Insider Alert

Market: Will Bitcoin reach $100k by 2024?
Trader: @whale_trader (85% win rate)
Position: YES at $0.65
Amount: $50,000

[Buy YES] [Buy NO]

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2. Click Trade Button

Click your desired outcome (YES or NO)

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3. Enter Amount

💰 Enter trade amount:

Available: $100.00 USDC
Market price: $0.65 YES

How much USDC to spend?

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4. Confirm Trade

Review and confirm: 
📊 Trade Summary

Market: Bitcoin $100k by 2024
Outcome: YES
Amount: $20 USDC
Price: $0.65
Shares: ~30.77 shares

Max profit: $10.77 (53.8%)
Max loss: $20.00

[Confirm] [Cancel]

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5. Track Position

Use /positions to monitor:
  • Current value
  • Profit/Loss
  • Market price changes
  • Time until resolution

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Trading Commands

CommandPurpose
/positionsView all active positions and PnL
/walletCheck available balance
/balanceQuick balance check
/tradeAccess pending trades from alert clicks

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Types of Markets

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Binary Markets

Simple YES/NO outcomes:
  • “Will event X happen?”
  • Two possible outcomes
  • Winner takes all

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Multi-Outcome Markets

Multiple possible outcomes:
  • “Who will win the election?” (multiple candidates)
  • Buy shares in each outcome
  • Each outcome priced independently

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Time-Based Markets

Markets with specific deadlines:
  • “By December 31, 2024…”
  • Clear resolution date
  • Price changes as deadline approaches

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Profit Examples

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Example 1: Winning YES Trade

Buy: 100 YES shares at $0.60 = $60 spent
Outcome: Event happens
Payout: 100 shares × $1.00 = $100
Profit: $100 - $60 = $40 (66.7% return)

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Example 2: Winning NO Trade

Buy: 100 NO shares at $0.40 = $40 spent
Outcome: Event doesn't happen
Payout: 100 shares × $1.00 = $100
Profit: $100 - $40 = $60 (150% return)

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Example 3: Losing Trade

Buy: 100 YES shares at $0.70 = $70 spent
Outcome: Event doesn't happen
Payout: $0 (shares worthless)
Loss: $70 (100% of investment)
Maximum Risk: You can lose 100% of the USDC you spend on a position if you’re wrong.

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Market Resolution

Markets resolve in three ways:
  1. Automatic Resolution: Clear outcomes (sports scores, election results)
  2. Oracle Resolution: Official sources confirm outcome
  3. Community Resolution: UMA protocol voting if disputed
After resolution:
  • Winning shares → $1.00 each
  • Losing shares → $0.00
  • USDC automatically credited to your wallet

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Trading Best Practices

  • Understand the market question
  • Check resolution criteria
  • Review market history
  • Look at similar resolved markets
  • Begin with small positions
  • Test the system with low stakes
  • Build confidence gradually
  • Scale up as you learn
  • Don’t put all funds in one market
  • Spread risk across multiple trades
  • Different market types
  • Different time horizons
  • Check positions daily
  • Watch for news affecting markets
  • Adjust positions when needed
  • Take profits strategically
  • Track your win rate
  • Analyze losing trades
  • Identify patterns
  • Refine your strategy

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Common Trading Mistakes

Avoid These Pitfalls
  • ❌ Trading on markets you don’t understand
  • ❌ Investing too much in single positions
  • ❌ Ignoring resolution criteria
  • ❌ Chasing losses with bigger bets
  • ❌ Not taking profits when available
  • ❌ Trading based purely on emotion

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Next Steps

Place Your First Trade

Learn the step-by-step process for executing trades

Manage Positions

Track and close your active positions

Understanding Markets

Deep dive into market mechanics

Copy Trading

Automate trades by following experts

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Frequently Asked Questions

If a market is invalidated or cancelled, all positions are refunded at the purchase price. You get your USDC back.
Yes! You can close positions anytime at current market prices. This is useful for taking profits or cutting losses.
Varies by market type:
  • Sports events: Within hours of event completion
  • Elections: Within days of official results
  • Long-term predictions: On the specified date
Polymarket uses UMA’s dispute resolution. If resolution is incorrect, it can be challenged and voted on by UMA token holders.

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Need Help?

Questions about trading?
  • Check the FAQ for common issues
  • Contact support: @anumaan_bot
  • Join our community to discuss strategies